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Josh Kurz
Apr 232 min read
Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2024!
The 2024 meltdown is well underway! The snowpack at the Upper San Juan Snotel site (USJSS) peaked 3 days early on April 11th with 25.8...
194 views3 comments
Josh Kurz
May 7, 20233 min read
Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2023
As I enter my 25th year of living in the Southern San Juans, I’ve witnessed events this spring that I’ve never seen before! For example,...
488 views1 comment
Josh Kurz
May 4, 20213 min read
Signs in the Snow
Like constellations in the night sky, some see shapes in the snow and claim that they can foretell the future. From October till May,...
537 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Aug 22, 20206 min read
Hurricanes in Colorado?
On October 5th, 1911, the San Juan River experienced the highest and most devastating flood on record. Since the flood washed out every...
715 views2 comments
Josh Kurz
Jul 16, 20202 min read
Streamflow and Precipitation Update: July 2020
It may surprise you to know that the 2020 spring runoff on the San Juan River was a top-five event! While the 2019 spring runoff was the...
276 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Apr 25, 20202 min read
2020 Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering when and how much streamflow to expect in the San Juan River during the 2020 spring runoff? And how will the 2020 spring...
101 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Jun 12, 20192 min read
Spring Runoff 2019: Let's Call It a Come-back!
The town of Pagosa Springs can breathe a sigh of relief: it appears that the much-anticipated peak spring runoff event has occurred...
143 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Jun 3, 20192 min read
Snowpack and Streamflow Update
The current 2019 Southern San Juan snowpack is not unprecedented, but it's getting harder to find years to compare it to! Winter appears...
86 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
May 19, 20192 min read
Updated Spring Runoff Prediction (I was wrong)
Is this Ireland or the San Juan Mountains? It sure is green, but just looking at the 7-day forecast makes me shiver! In stark contrast...
135 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Apr 25, 20192 min read
The 2019 Winter Review and Spring Runoff Prediction
The 2019 winter was officially a winner! The most encouraging sight was seeing the drinking water reservoirs cascading over their...
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Josh Kurz
Oct 9, 20182 min read
Happy New (water) Year!
The 2019 water year is off to a great start! Two days into the new water year, moisture from Hurricane Rosa streamed into the Southern...
41 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Sep 2, 20182 min read
Summer Streamflow and Precipitation Summary
As the summer sizzled, the monsoon fizzled, and the streamflow dwindled. The tubing opportunities decreased and now the all the trout...
25 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Jul 21, 20182 min read
Meandering Monsoon Moisture
It's amazing how much a drought can make you appreciate the rain! Ironically, it's the lack of rain in May and June that sets the stage...
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Josh Kurz
Jun 14, 20182 min read
2018 Streamflow and Precipitation Update
How low can the flow go? As the 416 and Burro wildfires rage near Durango, it's obvious that the streamflow in the San Juan River is...
12 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
May 15, 20182 min read
Spring Runoff Update
Peak spring runoff in the the San Juan River occurred in Pagosa Springs on May 10th at 11:45 PM at 1330 cfs! Even though the Upper San...
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Josh Kurz
May 1, 20182 min read
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
44 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Apr 22, 20182 min read
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
43 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Apr 9, 20182 min read
Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against the worst 4 years in recent history? And when and how much streamflow will our meager...
40 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Mar 18, 20183 min read
Predicting Flow from Snow
If you're wondering about the timing and magnitude of this year's spring runoff, I have a prediction for you. Back in 2013, I taught my...
74 views0 comments
Josh Kurz
Jan 15, 20181 min read
Current Snow Standings
How does the current snowpack in the Southern San Juans stack up against the 4 worst years in recent history? This graph shows the...
14 views0 comments
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