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Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2024!
The 2024 meltdown is well underway! The snowpack at the Upper San Juan Snotel site (USJSS) peaked 3 days early on April 11th with 25.8...
Josh Kurz
Apr 24, 20242 min read
214 views
3 comments


Predicting the Peak: Spring Runoff 2023
As I enter my 25th year of living in the Southern San Juans, I’ve witnessed events this spring that I’ve never seen before! For example,...
Josh Kurz
May 7, 20233 min read
507 views
1 comment


Winning Winter: 2019 vs 2023
How does our current snowpack stack up to the epic winter of 2018-2019? In the 23 years that I’ve shoveled snow in Pagosa, I can’t...
Josh Kurz
Mar 24, 20232 min read
296 views
2 comments


Signs in the Snow
Like constellations in the night sky, some see shapes in the snow and claim that they can foretell the future. From October till May,...
Josh Kurz
May 4, 20213 min read
560 views
0 comments


Streamflow and Precipitation Update: July 2020
It may surprise you to know that the 2020 spring runoff on the San Juan River was a top-five event! While the 2019 spring runoff was the...
Josh Kurz
Jul 16, 20202 min read
277 views
0 comments


2020 Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering when and how much streamflow to expect in the San Juan River during the 2020 spring runoff? And how will the 2020 spring...
Josh Kurz
Apr 25, 20202 min read
101 views
0 comments


Snowpack Update and Outlook: March 2020
Rather than climbing snowbanks onto the Pagosa Springs High School roof or jumping out of the second-story classroom windows into the...
Josh Kurz
Mar 6, 20203 min read
88 views
0 comments


Current Snowpack Situation
Wondering how the snowpack in the Southern San Juan Mountains stacks up to the last year and the historic norm? January is usually the...
Josh Kurz
Feb 8, 20202 min read
332 views
2 comments


January 2020 Snowpack Update: Southern San Juan Mountains
How does the 2020 snowpack stack up to last year and to the historic norm? Snow-wise, 2019 is a tough act to follow, but I was surprised...
Josh Kurz
Jan 7, 20202 min read
99 views
0 comments


Snowpack and Streamflow Update
The current 2019 Southern San Juan snowpack is not unprecedented, but it's getting harder to find years to compare it to! Winter appears...
Josh Kurz
Jun 3, 20192 min read
88 views
0 comments


The 2019 Winter Review and Spring Runoff Prediction
The 2019 winter was officially a winner! The most encouraging sight was seeing the drinking water reservoirs cascading over their...
Josh Kurz
Apr 25, 20192 min read
46 views
0 comments


March Snowfall Trends
After a near record-setting February, March is off to a great start, and more storms are on the way! Snow conditions are polar opposite...
Josh Kurz
Mar 9, 20192 min read
35 views
0 comments


New Snow Record?
Have we broken any snow depth records this year? To answer that question, I plotted March 1st snow depths over the last 20 winters....
Josh Kurz
Feb 23, 20192 min read
41 views
0 comments


Current Snow Situation
Wondering how our current snowpack stacks up against last year and the historic average? Storms this past week added about four inches...
Josh Kurz
Feb 9, 20191 min read
33 views
0 comments


Current Snow Situation
Waking up to nearly two feet of fresh snow was a great way to start 2019! The New Year's Storm ranks as one of the top storms of the...
Josh Kurz
Jan 4, 20191 min read
40 views
0 comments

What Does a Strong October Mean for the Rest of the Snow Season?
The snow season in the Southern San Juan Mountains is off to a strong start! Wolf Creek Ski Area opened on October 13, only 5 days later...
Josh Kurz
Nov 4, 20182 min read
20 views
0 comments

Spring Runoff Update
Peak spring runoff in the the San Juan River occurred in Pagosa Springs on May 10th at 11:45 PM at 1330 cfs! Even though the Upper San...
Josh Kurz
May 15, 20182 min read
9 views
0 comments

Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
Josh Kurz
May 1, 20182 min read
44 views
0 comments

Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against recent years with big summer wildfires? And when and how much streamflow will our...
Josh Kurz
Apr 22, 20182 min read
43 views
0 comments

Current Snow Standings and San Juan River Spring Runoff Prediction
Wondering how the 2018 snowpack stacks up against the worst 4 years in recent history? And when and how much streamflow will our meager...
Josh Kurz
Apr 9, 20182 min read
40 views
0 comments
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